Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atin Wright | 33 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Dionte Bostick | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ethan Igbanugo | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Marcel Stevens | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Onyi Eyisi | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dearon Tucker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cam Slaymaker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johnnie Walter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brantly Stevenson | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Chance Hunter | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter