Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brantly Stevenson * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Chance Hunter * | 35 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Sanders * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Julien Franklin * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Camren Pierce | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Hayden Jory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Marcel Stevens * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Atin Wright * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Dearon Tucker * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Onyi Eyisi | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Igbanugo | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Cam Slaymaker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Johnnie Walter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lamine Niang | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter