Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +1 (55-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Koroma * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Stevenson * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Player #4702352 * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Hunter * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Pierce | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Fleming | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Penn-Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Prukop | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Davis * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Baker * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Tillis * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| P. Crockrell II * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| B. Leuchten * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Keeler | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hohn | 14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| JC Butler | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Henry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Ujadughele | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hutchison | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. McBirney-Griffin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter