Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +12 (60-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Taylor * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Brantly Stevenson * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Chance Hunter * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Camren Pierce * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aidan Prukop | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shabazz * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tyrell Roberts * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Julian Rishwain * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Josh Kunen * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Saba Gigiberia * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Zane Meeks | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Williams | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Toni Rocak | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Volodymyr Markovetskyy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter