Model Predictions
| Model | Bethesda Flames | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +41.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +35 (94-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bethesda Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Clark * | 26 | 1-12 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Fleming * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Joseph * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| A. Hernandez * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Estes | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Goodlow | 19 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -4 | - |
| A. Ross | 18 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Henry | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Redwood | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brantly Stevenson * | 19 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Camren Pierce * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chance Hunter * | 15 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Isaac Spears | 15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Aidan Prukop | 9 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Matur Dhal | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Hayden Jory | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cole Haller | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nick Carlson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martin Cohen | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter