Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.0% | 10.0% | -12.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Baker * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| P. Crockrell II * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Tillis * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| JC Butler * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Leuchten * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Henry | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Keeler | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Hohn | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| O. Ujadughele | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. McBirney-Griffin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Hutchison | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stevenson * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Pierce * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Hunter * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Koroma * | 23 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| J. Franklin | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Penn-Johnson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Fleming | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Prukop | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Haller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Jory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter