Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | -14.3 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (56-59). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Baker * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Devin Tillis * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| JC Butler * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bent Leuchten * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andre Henry | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Dean Keeler | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Justin Hohn | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chazz Hutchison | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brantly Stevenson * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Camren Pierce * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Chance Hunter * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 23 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aidan Prukop | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cole Haller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hayden Jory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter