Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stevenson * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Player #4702352 * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Fleming * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Koroma * | 16 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Franklin | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Hunter | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Penn-Johnson | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Haller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Prukop | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Jory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro. Beasley * | 34 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| E. Pepper * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 32 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| A. Adebayo * | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Anigwe * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Milling | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Rocak | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. DeBruhl | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lose | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter