๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Cal Poly

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2014 Team Stats (6 games)

63.3
PPG
60.2
Opp
+3.2
Margin
42.0%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
64.5%
FT%
31.3
RPG
11.0
APG
7.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.6
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#172
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 985 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 944 (#219) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1029 (#130) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -0.1 (#170) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -0.7 (#180) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.366 (#241) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.460 (#180) AdjNet -1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.3 More โ†’ 0.461 (#179) AdjNet -1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.495 (#172) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 60.6 More โ†’ 0.510 (#164) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.487 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.490 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More โ†’ 949 (#206) RD 112 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Arizona Wildcats L 62 - 73
2013-11-12 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 58 - 60
2013-11-20 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 46 - 63
2013-11-23 vs Bethesda Flames W 78 - 39
2013-11-29 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 70 - 43
2013-11-30 @ Pacific Tigers L 71 - 73
2013-12-01 @ Oregon Ducks L 61 - 82
2013-12-07 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 64 - 53
2013-12-14 vs Cal State Dominguez Hills Toros W 85 - 49
2013-12-17 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 59 - 79
2013-12-21 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 56 - 73
2013-12-29 @ Stanford Cardinal L 62 - 79
2014-01-04 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 72 - 82
2014-01-09 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 77 - 65
2014-01-11 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 72 - 64
2014-01-16 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 62 - 52
2014-01-18 vs Long Beach State Beach L 62 - 63
2014-01-23 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 58 - 56
2014-01-25 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 58 - 61
2014-01-30 vs UC Davis Aggies L 58 - 62
2014-02-01 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 50 - 64
2014-02-08 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 60 - 69
2014-02-13 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 62 - 55
2014-02-15 @ Long Beach State Beach L 65 - 74
2014-02-20 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 59 - 67
2014-02-22 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 69 - 64
2014-02-27 @ UC Davis Aggies L 73 - 85
2014-03-01 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 48 - 55
2014-03-08 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 55 - 71
2014-03-13 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 69 - 38
2014-03-14 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 61 - 58
2014-03-15 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 61 - 59
2014-03-19 @ Texas Southern Tigers W 81 - 69
2014-03-21 @ Wichita State Shockers L 37 - 64

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Eversley Chris Eversley F 26 31.6 14.0 7.0 1.4 1.3 0.4 1.3 4.3 18.5 11 24 0.5 0.6 45.5 27.8 66.7 3.16 147.3 50.0
David Nwaba David Nwaba G 26 24.7 11.5 4.8 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.3 2.1 15.7 25 24 1.0 1.9 57.4 0 63.9 2.17 214.8 57.4
Kyle Odister Kyle Odister G 20 25.1 8.6 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 3.2 8.9 -34 20 -1.7 -2.9 30.8 36.6 42.9 -0.48 125.6 42.3
Brian Bennett Brian Bennett F 26 18.0 6.0 2.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.3 8.1 -12 24 -0.5 -1.1 52.9 0 66.7 -0.05 186.1 52.9
Jamal Johnson Jamal Johnson G 26 22.8 4.4 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.8 1.0 8.2 -78 24 -3.2 -6.0 28.0 28.6 76.5 -4.51 177.0 32.0
Joel Awich Joel Awich F 25 17.2 4.2 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.6 6.2 -9 23 -0.4 -1.0 46.2 25.0 100.0 -0.44 127.4 48.7
Ridge Shipley Ridge Shipley G 26 14.9 3.8 0.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.5 4.2 16 24 0.7 1.9 31.6 34.8 85.7 -1.31 112.1 42.1
Maliik Love Maliik Love G 26 15.8 3.4 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.8 5.9 -42 24 -1.8 -4.4 40.0 0.0 55.6 -1.54 185.7 40.0
Reese Morgan Reese Morgan G 8 7.6 3.4 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.5 3.0 -1 7 -0.1 -0.6 33.3 40.0 100.0 -0.82 104.8 50.0
Michael Bolden Michael Bolden G 18 14.2 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 3.9 -2 18 -0.1 -0.4 20.0 10.0 0 0.61 170.0 23.3
Anthony Silvestri Anthony Silvestri F 22 8.3 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.0 -37 21 -1.8 -9.9 44.4 44.4 0.0 -1.28 264.8 66.7
Taylor Sutlive Taylor Sutlive G 18 7.8 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.4 -16 15 -1.1 -5.7 16.7 16.7 0 -1.46 341.7 25.0
Zach Gordon Zach Gordon F 26 10.7 1.3 2.5 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 3.8 -54 23 -2.3 -9.6 14.3 0 50.0 -3.61 149.1 14.3
Max Betkowski Max Betkowski G 5 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.34 0.0 0.0
Markel Leonard Markel Leonard G 4 2.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.14 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG