Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +2 (73-71). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Maliik Love | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joel Awich | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sama Taku * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tony Gill * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Bock * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Khalil Kelley * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Trevin Harris * | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Wallace | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Short | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tim Thomas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter