Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -14 (50-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Luke Nelson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Chris McNealy * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mamadou Ndiaye * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mike Best * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Travis Souza | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| John Ryan | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ioannis Dimakopoulos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 26 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Maliik Love | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter