Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Johns * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Steven Thornton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Chris Patton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Steven Jones * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Austin Quick * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Sam Finley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Nick Gruninger | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lucas Devenny | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Harriel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Michael Bolden * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| David Nwaba | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Awich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter