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2014-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% -
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Eversley * 31 7-13 0-1 0-1 7 0 0 0 2 14 6 -
D. Nwaba * 25 4-5 0-0 6-6 2 1 2 0 0 14 14 -
K. Odister * 22 3-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
J. Johnson * 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Awich * 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
B. Bennett 24 4-7 0-0 4-5 9 0 1 0 0 12 15 -
R. Shipley 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Bolden 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
M. Love 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Silvestri 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Morgan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Gordon 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nelson * 34 2-6 2-5 0-1 2 5 0 0 3 6 4 -
W. Davis II * 33 9-14 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 2 18 12 -
C. McNealy * 31 3-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
A. Young * 30 3-8 2-3 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
M. N'Diaye * 22 3-3 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 1 2 7 10 -
A. Wright 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 4 8 -
D. Dunning 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Ryan 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Souza 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Best 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter