Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +27 (64-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Eversley * | 28 | 2-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| K. Odister * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Awich * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Nwaba * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Love | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Shipley | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Morgan | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B. Bennett | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Bolden | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Silvestri | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. VanVleet * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Baker * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| C. Early * | 19 | 9-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| K. Coleby * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Cotton * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Wessel | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Wiggins | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Lufile | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Carter | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Simon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Bush | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter