Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8 (64-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Maliik Love | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 50 | - |
| Zalmico Harmon * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Taran Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Michael Bryson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mitch Brewe * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Eric Childress | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Moore | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sam Beeler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter