Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | +17.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +11 (73-62). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maliik Love | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Awich | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Johnson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T.J. McConnell * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Brandon Ashley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Gabe York * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Rondae Hollis Jefferson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Kaleb Tarczewski | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jordin Mayes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter