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2014-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Eversley * 36 8-17 1-4 1-4 5 1 1 0 2 18 6 -
K. Odister * 30 1-5 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
D. Nwaba * 26 7-8 0-0 3-6 6 2 0 3 1 17 19 -
J. Johnson * 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Awich * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Shipley 25 4-7 3-5 3-4 0 3 1 0 1 14 10 -
Z. Gordon 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 1 8 -
B. Bennett 15 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
M. Bolden 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Love 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
R. Morgan 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene * 40 4-13 1-4 3-5 4 2 0 0 2 12 3 -
S. Maxwell * 37 7-17 0-0 4-5 3 0 0 0 0 18 4 -
S. Hicks * 35 4-14 0-1 3-3 12 1 2 0 1 11 11 -
J. Thomas * 27 3-4 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
T. Hale-Edmerson * 24 2-5 0-0 5-6 10 2 1 1 2 9 16 -
A. Parks 12 0-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
L. Drew 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Vozzola 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Williams 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Youmans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter