Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maliik Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene * | 40 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Thomas * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Parks | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Landon Drew | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ben Vozzola | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dominique Youmans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter