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Ball State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: James Whitford

2019 Team Stats (5 games)

81.6
PPG
74.6
Opp
+7.0
Margin
46.9%
FG%
27.4%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
43.8
RPG
14.6
APG
15.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.6
Adj PPG
69.4
Adj Opp PPG
#112
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1015 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 950 (#248) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.6 (#111) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +1.0 (#155) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.585 (#120) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.625 (#127) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.628 (#125) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.596 (#112) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.500 (#169) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.530 (#155) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.510 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 32 More → 982 (#186) RD 130 | GP 32

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 86 - 69
2018-11-10 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 75 - 84
2018-11-15 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 64 - 73
2018-11-16 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 61 - 79
2018-11-18 @ App State Mountaineers W 94 - 86
2018-11-24 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 82 - 72
2018-11-27 vs Tiffin Dragons W 108 - 62
2018-12-01 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 85 - 75
2018-12-05 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 75 - 69
2018-12-09 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 77 - 89
2018-12-17 @ Valparaiso Beacons W 77 - 61
2018-12-20 vs Howard Bison W 98 - 71
2018-12-29 vs Delaware State Hornets W 116 - 57
2019-01-04 @ Toledo Rockets W 79 - 64
2019-01-08 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 82 - 84
2019-01-12 vs Ohio Bobcats L 52 - 70
2019-01-15 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 78 - 79
2019-01-19 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 83 - 72
2019-01-22 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 65 - 71
2019-01-26 @ Ohio Bobcats L 74 - 78
2019-01-29 @ Buffalo Bulls L 59 - 83
2019-02-02 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 80 - 83
2019-02-05 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 72 - 71
2019-02-09 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 79 - 59
2019-02-16 vs Akron Zips W 57 - 56
2019-02-19 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 66 - 69
2019-02-23 vs Central Michigan Chippewas L 57 - 64
2019-02-26 vs Toledo Rockets L 72 - 80
2019-03-02 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 60 - 58
2019-03-05 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 61 - 68
2019-03-08 vs Northern Illinois Huskies L 57 - 64
2019-03-11 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 61 - 43
2019-03-14 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 86 - 99

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tayler Persons Tayler Persons G 30 32.1 17.0 3.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 3.3 3.1 19.9 35 29 1.2 1.5 42.4 30.0 90.9 1.15 239.9 47.3
Tahjai Teague Tahjai Teague F 30 28.0 13.4 7.4 1.2 1.3 1.0 2.1 2.5 19.7 32 29 1.1 1.6 50.0 20.0 72.4 0.44 231.1 52.0
K.J. Walton K.J. Walton G 29 26.7 12.9 4.3 0.9 1.3 0.3 2.0 2.4 15.3 90 28 3.2 4.9 58.6 0.0 69.0 3.38 226.0 58.6
Trey Moses Trey Moses C 29 28.0 8.7 6.9 2.5 0.9 1.3 2.7 1.7 16.0 49 28 1.8 2.6 53.1 0 50.0 1.45 211.6 53.1
Ishmael El-Amin Ishmael El-Amin G 17 22.2 7.2 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.1 1.8 8.1 -79 17 -4.6 -8.9 56.7 43.8 71.4 -4.59 185.9 68.3
Kyle Mallers Kyle Mallers F 30 29.4 6.3 4.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 2.0 1.4 9.8 10 29 0.3 0.5 27.9 12.9 75.0 -1.37 195.7 32.6
Brachen Hazen Brachen Hazen F 14 18.7 5.4 4.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.2 0.7 8.9 11 16 0.7 1.7 50.0 0.0 75.0 1.0 323.1 50.0
Zach Gunn Zach Gunn F 25 14.7 5.2 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 -14 23 -0.6 -1.9 50.0 42.1 75.0 0.63 256.7 68.2
Josh Thompson Josh Thompson G 30 13.0 2.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.7 4.1 -17 29 -0.6 -2.0 30.0 20.0 75.0 -1.93 188.4 35.0
Austin Nehls Austin Nehls G 27 12.9 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.9 37 25 1.5 5.0 25.0 14.3 88.9 1.56 288.5 31.2
Blake Huggins Blake Huggins C 10 8.1 2.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 4.5 -9 8 -1.1 -6.7 28.6 0 42.9 -1.99 119.0 28.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG