Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 24 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brachen Hazen * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Trey Moses | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Ryan Cline * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Grady Eifert * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Matt Haarms * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Evan Boudreaux | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Wheeler | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trevion Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter