Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.