Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Moses * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Brachen Hazen | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Blake Huggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Petty * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kira Lewis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Galin Smith * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Dazon Ingram | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Tevin Mack | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Reese | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lawson Schaffer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Britton Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter