Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | โ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | โ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | โ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Mallers * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 36 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanford * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| N. Navigato * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| W. Jackson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | - |
| M. Jackson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| L. Knapke * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| AJ Edu | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| S. Littleson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Alderson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter