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2019-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Toledo Rockets Spread Result
EloData withheld: source-integrity hold
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% - โœ—
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 โœ— (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ—

Actual: Toledo Rockets -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Mallers * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 7 15 -
Tahjai Teague * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 3 1 2 20 36 -
Tayler Persons * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 21 25 -
K.J. Walton * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 14 21 -
Trey Moses * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 2 17 23 -
Josh Thompson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
Austin Nehls 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
Zach Gunn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sanford * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 12 14 -
N. Navigato * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
W. Jackson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 3 10 21 -
M. Jackson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 8 13 -
L. Knapke * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 10 16 -
AJ Edu 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 5 1 3 14 -
S. Littleson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
D. Alderson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter