Model Predictions
| Model | Howard Bison | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +27 (98-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Cole * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Charles Williams * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Ogheneyole Akuwovo * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Zion Cousins * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Anosikle | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Foster | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nate Garvey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Justin Cotten | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Langston Gaither | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Phillip Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishmael El-Amin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Blake Huggins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter