Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -16 (61-77). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Walton * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tayler Persons * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fazekas * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-9 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Bakari Evelyn * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Deion Lavender * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Derrik Smits * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Markus Golder | 29 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jaume Sorolla | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Sackey | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mileek McMillan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Kiser | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter