Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Barnes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Allante Holston * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Devin Thomas * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Emondre Rickman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| De'Avion Washington | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Clayton Hughes | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Bronson Kessinger | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Blake Brinkmeyer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tyeshon Martin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 31 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Brachen Hazen * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Trey Moses | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter