Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Riley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Shea Feehan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 34 | - |
| Marty Hill * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| John Hall * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shamar Givance | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter