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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: John Brady

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

67.0
PPG
49.0
Opp
+18.0
Margin
44.8%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
56.3%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.0
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.4
Adj PPG
68.5
Adj Opp PPG
#300
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 791 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 874 (#274) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 916 (#288) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -8.7 (#299) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -9.1 (#310) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.252 (#289) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.185 (#295) AdjNet -12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.0 More → 0.181 (#295) AdjNet -13.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.325 (#300) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.344 (#314) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.273 (#300) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.276 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 28 More → 833 (#290) RD 149 | GP 28

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-17 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 73 - 75
2014-11-25 vs Lamar Cardinals L 58 - 63
2014-12-01 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 67 - 49
2014-12-06 vs Belhaven Blazers W 95 - 68
2014-12-10 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 46 - 87
2014-12-13 @ Toledo Rockets L 65 - 73
2014-12-17 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 69 - 55
2014-12-20 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 67 - 58
2014-12-23 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 74 - 69
2014-12-30 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 63 - 60
2015-01-03 vs App State Mountaineers L 73 - 74
2015-01-05 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 61 - 70
2015-01-08 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 61 - 73
2015-01-10 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 50 - 77
2015-01-15 @ App State Mountaineers W 59 - 50
2015-01-17 vs Texas State Bobcats W 78 - 73
2015-01-19 vs Georgia State Panthers L 54 - 60
2015-01-22 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 59 - 96
2015-01-24 @ Troy Trojans W 64 - 55
2015-01-29 vs Little Rock Trojans L 65 - 75
2015-01-31 @ Georgia State Panthers L 43 - 74
2015-02-05 vs Troy Trojans L 64 - 69
2015-02-12 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 60 - 65
2015-02-19 @ Little Rock Trojans L 57 - 70
2015-02-21 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 70 - 68
2015-02-26 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 81 - 80
2015-02-28 @ Texas State Bobcats L 60 - 70
2015-03-05 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 76 - 81
2015-03-07 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 57 - 81

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Livingston Anthony Livingston F 26 35.9 15.8 9.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 2.7 3.0 21.5 -43 25 -1.7 -2.1 46.2 23.8 65.4 1.55 229.2 49.4
Cameron Golden Cameron Golden G 26 35.2 13.3 3.2 2.7 1.7 0.2 2.3 3.1 15.6 -62 25 -2.5 -3.0 42.0 33.3 92.9 -0.75 197.9 51.2
Sean Gardner Sean Gardner G 26 30.3 11.3 3.0 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.6 2.7 12.7 -45 25 -1.8 -2.4 45.1 26.7 45.5 -0.96 194.5 50.7
Nouhoum Bocoum Nouhoum Bocoum C 25 15.8 6.3 4.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.2 9.2 -18 24 -0.8 -2.0 51.6 0 64.3 0.73 211.2 51.6
Frederic Dure Frederic Dure G 12 18.5 6.2 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.8 0.4 8.4 - - - - 20.0 33.3 0.0 - 585.4 30.0
P.J. Hardwick P.J. Hardwick G 1 35.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 9.0 -44 24 -1.8 -2.6 50.0 0 66.7 -2.3 64.7 50.0
Kelvin Downs Kelvin Downs F 25 18.2 3.9 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.0 5.3 -70 24 -2.9 -7.1 44.0 0 42.9 -3.33 174.5 44.0
Charles Waters Charles Waters F 22 13.0 3.0 3.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.6 6.5 25 21 1.2 3.9 42.9 0 80.0 0.6 203.7 42.9
C.J. Foster C.J. Foster G 20 14.3 2.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 3.1 -2 18 -0.1 -0.4 33.3 25.0 46.2 -0.79 163.0 38.9
Daijon Macklien Daijon Macklien G 21 12.6 1.9 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.4 2.3 -39 19 -2.1 -7.0 62.5 50.0 100.0 -2.46 225.2 68.8
Ronnie White Ronnie White - 2 11.5 0.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Josh Pierre Josh Pierre - 7 2.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG