Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | +12.2 | ✗ (26.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✗ (27.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -14 (55-69). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Gardner * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Thomas * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Travis Daniels * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| I.J. Ready | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Demetrius Houston | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Maurice Dunlap | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Fallou Ndoye | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Oliver Black | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter