Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | +2.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5 (64-69). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thomas * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| John Walton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kelton Ford * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chris Bilbo | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Ariri | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Livingston * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Charles Waters | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Frederic Dure | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter