Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Livingston * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Charles Waters | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stevens * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| D. Ferguson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 36 | - |
| A. Lewis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Judah Brown * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Williams | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter