Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Golden * | 39 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Charles Waters | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Snowden * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Davis * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Blackman * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Harris * | 24 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Fowler * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Myers | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Reid | 20 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Scott | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Skou Hansen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Dickson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Suber | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter