Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Livingston * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Frederic Dure | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charles Waters | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurius Hill * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| James Reid * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Roger Woods * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 23 | - |
| J.T. Thomas * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mareik Isom * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ben Dillard | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hagins | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andre Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerron Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter