Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Southern Eagles | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Hughes * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jelani Hewitt * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Angel Matias * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Jake Allsmiller * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Curtis Diamond | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Eric Ferguson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Doyle | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Devonte Boykins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Golden * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charles Waters | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter