Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1 (73-74). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Eaves * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Chris Burgess * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Tommy Spagnolo * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Dustin Clarke * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Obacha * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jake Babic | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Griffin Kinney | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Landon Goesling | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Milos Kostic | 7 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Rantavious Gilbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Kobani | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Hardwick * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Charles Waters | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter