Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | +0.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (78-73). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Montalvo * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | - |
| D.J. Brown * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| JaMarcus Weatherspoon | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Cameron Naylor | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Victor Bermudez | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ojai Black | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Livingston * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 36 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Charles Waters * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| C.J. Foster | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Frederic Dure | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter