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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pannone

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

65.5
PPG
73.0
Opp
-7.5
Margin
41.3%
FG%
23.5%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
34.0
RPG
13.0
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#214
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 931 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 948 (#210) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 1010 (#154) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -3.4 (#216) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -3.2 (#211) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.413 (#211) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.348 (#219) AdjNet -5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.345 (#219) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.432 (#214) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.480 (#186) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.424 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.434 (#207) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 27 More → 934 (#216) RD 153 | GP 27

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 60 - 68
2010-11-16 @ Missouri State Bears L 71 - 80
2010-11-17 vs Belmont Bruins L 60 - 93
2010-11-22 @ Pacific Tigers L 70 - 77
2010-11-23 @ Pepperdine Waves L 62 - 69
2010-11-27 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 56 - 50
2010-12-01 @ Memphis Tigers L 71 - 78
2010-12-06 vs Lyon College Scots W 85 - 42
2010-12-11 vs Alabama State Hornets W 77 - 53
2010-12-18 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 59 - 68
2010-12-20 vs Savannah State Tigers W 68 - 55
2010-12-22 @ Missouri State Bears L 70 - 77
2010-12-28 vs Central Baptist College Mustangs W 120 - 39
2010-12-30 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 69 - 57
2011-01-01 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 81 - 73
2011-01-06 @ Florida International Panthers L 70 - 75
2011-01-08 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 57 - 61
2011-01-15 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 69 - 65
2011-01-17 vs Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 75
2011-01-20 @ Denver Pioneers L 36 - 74
2011-01-22 @ North Texas Mean Green L 64 - 83
2011-01-27 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 62 - 61
2011-01-29 @ Little Rock Trojans W 75 - 64
2011-02-01 @ Savannah State Tigers L 61 - 67
2011-02-17 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 61 - 64
2011-02-19 @ Troy Trojans W 71 - 63
2011-02-24 vs North Texas Mean Green W 63 - 47
2011-02-26 vs Little Rock Trojans W 71 - 63
2011-03-06 vs Little Rock Trojans L 52 - 59

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rashad Allison Rashad Allison G 14 29.5 11.6 1.7 3.1 0.6 0.3 1.8 1.6 14.0 -15 23 -0.7 -1.0 36.4 25.0 87.5 -2.64 319.4 40.9
Donald Boone Donald Boone G 14 33.3 10.6 3.0 1.1 1.9 0.0 2.2 1.6 12.9 52 23 2.3 3.1 45.5 30.0 100.0 3.08 311.4 52.3
Daniel Bryant Daniel Bryant G 2 22.5 10.0 2.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 10.5 4.5 -20 7 -2.9 -6.4 33.3 18.2 66.7 -0.15 42.3 38.1
Trey Finn Trey Finn G 13 31.7 9.1 5.9 0.9 1.4 0.2 1.8 1.2 14.6 16 22 0.7 1.0 40.0 25.0 100.0 0.45 352.0 46.7
Martavius Adams Martavius Adams F 14 25.2 9.0 7.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 2.4 2.0 13.1 6 23 0.3 0.4 46.4 0 50.0 0.37 205.6 46.4
Brandon Peterson Brandon Peterson F 13 26.3 6.8 5.5 0.5 0.2 1.0 2.4 0.7 10.9 -26 22 -1.2 -1.8 33.3 50.0 66.7 -2.91 382.3 38.9
Kinley Ogbonnaya-Branch Kinley Ogbonnaya-Branch F 3 10.3 4.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 5.3 -16 7 -2.3 -14.3 100.0 100.0 0 -2.26 700.0 150.0
Malcoln Kirkland Malcoln Kirkland F 14 15.3 4.2 3.8 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 7.3 28 23 1.2 3.5 50.0 0 100.0 1.66 229.0 50.0
Edward Townsel Edward Townsel G 14 13.3 4.1 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.4 0.7 5.2 -3 23 -0.1 -0.4 20.0 0.0 50.0 -2.19 266.5 20.0
Adam Sterrenberg Adam Sterrenberg G 12 11.8 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5 4.0 13 21 0.6 2.2 16.7 0.0 50.0 -0.26 341.6 16.7
Jeremy Thomas Jeremy Thomas F 14 15.3 3.7 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 6.2 16 23 0.7 2.3 50.0 0 44.4 -1.0 217.4 50.0
Chano Rashiduddin Chano Rashiduddin F 2 4.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -6 5 -1.2 -14.2 0 0 0.0 -1.07 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG