Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | -1.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -8 (63-71). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Boone | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Peterson | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Trey Finn | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Rashad Allison | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Martavius Adams | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ed Townsel | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Vernon Taylor | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Steven Cunningham | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Bernard Toombs | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Travis Lee | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Regis Huddleston | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Levan Patsatsia | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tim Owens | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter