Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | +7.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +19 (83-64). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Allison * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Donald Boone * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Martavius Adams * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ed Townsel | 20 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland | 17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kinley Ogbonnaya-Branch | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Josh White * | 33 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| George Odufuwa * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Shannon Shorter * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kedrick Hogans * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dominique Johnson | 26 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jacob Holmen | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ben Knox | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Avery Redmond | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamie Egenti | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter