Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Allison * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Donald Boone * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Martavius Adams * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kinley Ogbonnaya-Branch | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| J. White * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 25 | - |
| G. Odufuwa * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 30 | - |
| S. Shorter * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Hogans * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| J. Holmen | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| B. Knox | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Redmond | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Egenti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter