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Little Rock Trojans 63
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 71
2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 ✓ (1.6 off)
Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% - ✗

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bozeman * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 3 0 4 12 17 -
A. Garcia-Mendoza * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 15 16 -
D. Williams * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 3 9 -
M. Louzeiro * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
G. Leeper * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Mouzy 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 13 16 -
E. Kibi 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 6 10 -
M. Thornton 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 0 4 12 -
C. Guy 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 5 6 -
D. Bails 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Finn * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 1 4 15 28 -
R. Allison * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 16 22 -
D. Boone * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 9 10 -
J. Thomas * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 12 18 -
M. Adams * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 5 11 -
M. Kirkland 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 8 14 -
B. Peterson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Sterrenberg 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
E. Townsel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter