Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +16 (63-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| J. White * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| G. Odufuwa * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 24 | - |
| K. Hogans * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Shorter * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Edwards | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Knox | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Egenti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Redmond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Boone * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Martavius Adams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Rashad Allison * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter