Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Gilbert * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tommie Sykes * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Hugh Mingo * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Fred Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Steve McClellan * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| F. Ribeiro | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Lonell Reeves | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Boone * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Martavius Adams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Rashad Allison * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter