Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (36.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +38 (74-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Finn * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Adams * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Allison * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| D. Boone * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| E. Townsel | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Kirkland | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Ogbonnaya-Branch | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Rashiduddin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hallam * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Hallam * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Stafford * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Hooper * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Thalken * | 23 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| K. Lewis | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Coughlin | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Noonan | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Udofia | 11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Foeman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Pickert | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter