Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (35.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (35.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +38 (74-36). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Finn * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Martavius Adams * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Rashad Allison * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Donald Boone * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kinley Ogbonnaya-Branch | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chano Rashiduddin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hallam * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chase Hallam * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Brian Stafford * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Hooper * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Thalken * | 23 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Lewis | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Justin Coughlin | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Noonan | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Udofia | 11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Blake Foeman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Alex Pickert | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter