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2011-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donald Boone * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 11 -
Trey Finn * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 1 3 11 -
Rashad Allison * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 26 34 -
Brandon Peterson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 2 4 11 -
Martavius Adams * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 9 12 -
Jeremy Thomas 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
Edward Townsel 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
Malcoln Kirkland 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Adam Sterrenberg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bureau * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 1 1 8 20 -
J. Thomas * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 20 25 -
L. Gary * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 14 18 -
R. Andrews * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 2 8 -
B. Mbamalu * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
R. Daigle 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 12 14 -
J. Brown 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 4 -
J. Mitchell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
D. Perez 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter