Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Garcia-Mendoza * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Bozeman * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Williams * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Louzeiro * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Leeper * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Thornton | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 20 | - |
| C. Guy | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Kibi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Sutherland | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Bails | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Boone * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Allison * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Adams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| M. Kirkland | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Townsel | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Thomas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter