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Air Force

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History
Coach: Joe Scott

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

61.6
PPG
80.5
Opp
-18.9
Margin
42.7%
FG%
30.1%
3P%
63.9%
FT%
29.2
RPG
12.0
APG
14.9
TO
74.0
Pace
63.8
AdjO
77.0
AdjD
#331
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 695 (#354) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 690 (#356) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 800 (#703) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -13.9 (#335) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -1.1 (#377) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.047 (#363) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -44.4 More → 0.006 (#360) NetEff -44.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.098 (#339) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.3 More → 0.095 (#339) AdjNet -19.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.232 (#331) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 77.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 77.6 More → 0.216 (#701) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 77.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.314 (#463) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.273 (#546) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 30 More → 722 (#698) RD 147 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Belmont Bruins L 63 - 79
2025-11-08 vs Austin Peay Governors L 54 - 74
2025-11-11 vs Long Island University Sharks L 72 - 76
2025-11-15 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 61 - 76
2025-11-19 vs Alabama State Hornets W 66 - 64
2025-11-21 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 77 - 63
2025-11-23 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 98 - 85
2025-11-26 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 53 - 71
2025-11-29 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 63 - 80
2025-12-03 vs Pacific Tigers L 65 - 80
2025-12-17 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 58 - 81
2025-12-30 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 56 - 68
2026-01-03 @ UNLV Rebels L 39 - 67
2026-01-06 vs Utah State Aggies L 62 - 99
2026-01-10 vs New Mexico Lobos L 49 - 91
2026-01-13 @ San José State Spartans L 62 - 70
2026-01-20 @ Colorado State Rams L 52 - 81
2026-01-24 @ Boise State Broncos L 54 - 96
2026-01-31 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 62 - 79
2026-02-03 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 57 - 81
2026-02-07 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 54 - 88
2026-02-10 vs Colorado State Rams L 74 - 91
2026-02-14 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 63 - 93
2026-02-17 @ New Mexico Lobos L 61 - 98
2026-02-21 vs UNLV Rebels L 66 - 91
2026-02-24 vs San José State Spartans L 80 - 86
2026-02-28 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 62 - 66
2026-03-03 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 60 - 86
2026-03-07 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 59 - 74
2026-03-11 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 45 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kam Sanders Kam Sanders - 30 29.7 12.6 4.2 3.7 1.1 0.1 2.4 9.9 9.5 -226 -10.8 -15.2 39.5 36.9 73.1 -1.03 52.5 45.9
Lucas Hobin Lucas Hobin - 30 28.7 11.1 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 9.2 3.4 -200 -9.5 -14.4 35.0 30.8 83.0 -0.75 52.5 46.2
C. Walker C. Walker - 23 21.7 10.3 5.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.9 6.0 9.1 145 6.0 15.0 66.9 0.0 46.8 1.37 63.4 66.9
E. Robinson E. Robinson - 29 28.2 8.0 5.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 1.9 6.9 7.6 -293 -14.0 -20.4 48.8 33.3 65.8 -2.13 53.5 51.7
Ethan Greenberg Ethan Greenberg - 30 27.2 6.6 2.4 1.0 0.9 0.1 1.2 6.3 3.4 -151 -7.2 -11.6 35.3 33.8 65.2 -0.48 49.5 48.2
Riley Dering Riley Dering F 13 14.5 5.8 2.9 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.5 3.9 5.5 -8 -1.6 -9.3 60.8 66.7 66.7 -0.06 64.5 62.7
W. Celichowski W. Celichowski - 30 20.3 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 4.4 3.4 -152 -6.3 -22.1 41.2 17.0 45.9 -1.02 45.5 44.7
K. Marshall K. Marshall - 4 16.5 3.5 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 4.2 4.5 -47 -11.8 -32.2 41.2 0.0 0.0 -0.56 38.2 41.2
K. Gilles K. Gilles - 30 12.8 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.6 2.5 1.8 -64 -3.0 -15.2 46.1 15.0 60.0 -0.34 51.8 48.0
A.J. Patterson A.J. Patterson - 27 14.3 2.4 1.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.7 1.9 3.3 -104 -5.8 -16.3 44.2 14.3 60.7 -0.65 49.8 45.2
B. Martin B. Martin F 12 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.7 - - - 42.9 26.7 0.0 0.02 50.3 52.4
E. Taite E. Taite G 11 1.7 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.7 7 1.2 22.8 53.8 57.1 0.0 0.14 67.0 69.2
Justin Hinds Justin Hinds - 27 10.9 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.7 1.2 -70 -3.7 -12.0 24.4 12.0 58.3 0.2 31.8 27.8
S. Imade S. Imade F 9 3.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.3 - - - 22.2 33.3 0 -0.08 27.8 27.8
J. Gatete J. Gatete - 15 4.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 -41 -4.1 -32.5 14.3 25.0 50.0 -0.49 25.4 21.4
K. Frisch K. Frisch F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.1 0 0
C. Catchings C. Catchings G 4 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.12 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG