Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Greenberg | 35 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -0.6 |
| L. Hobin | 30 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +1.1 |
| K. Sanders | 30 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -1.0 |
| E. Robinson | 26 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | -11.4 |
| C. Walker | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -2.5 |
| W. Celichowski | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
| A.J. Patterson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.9 |
| K. Gilles | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
| J. Hinds | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +7.2 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Goodarzi | 40 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +1.1 |
| M. Bell Jr. | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. NgaNga | 31 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.9 |
| B. Roseborough | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +3.5 |
| D. Langford | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +3.2 |
| A. Myers | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | -1.3 |
| J. Moupadele | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| M. Overstreet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter