Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.3% | 1.7% | -22.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -26 (60-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Moore Jr. | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| N. Owusu-Anane | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Henley | 26 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Stromer | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 25 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Evans | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Smith | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| E. Demirel | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Boisdur | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Pepe | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hobin | 32 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Sanders | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| E. Robinson | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. Greenberg | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| W. Celichowski | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Walker | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Patterson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Gilles | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Dering | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Hinds | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter