Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Simpson * | 35 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 14 | +0.8 |
| C. Palesse * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -16.2 |
| A. Anderson * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 0 | +0.2 |
| J. Stanback * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -0.7 |
| R. King * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.5 |
| T. Byrd | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +4.0 |
| D. Yates | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.5 |
| T. Mason | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.6 |
| M. Andrews | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hobin * | 39 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | -0.7 |
| E. Greenberg * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | +1.6 |
| K. Sanders * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -0.0 |
| E. Robinson * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| W. Celichowski * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| C. Walker | 32 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 26 | +3.8 |
| K. Gilles | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | +1.2 |
| A.J. Patterson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.3 |
| J. Hinds | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
* = starter