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Alabama State Hornets 64
@
Air Force Falcons 66
2025-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 88.5% 11.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% - ✗

Actual: Air Force Falcons +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simpson * 35 10-17 4-9 6-6 1 1 1 0 2 30 14 +0.8
C. Palesse * 32 1-7 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 0 -16.2
A. Anderson * 31 4-13 1-7 5-7 2 2 0 1 6 14 0 +0.2
J. Stanback * 25 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 3 2 0 8 13 -0.7
R. King * 17 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 3 4 +1.5
T. Byrd 22 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 3 0 1 5 5 +4.0
D. Yates 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -2.5
T. Mason 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -1 +2.6
M. Andrews 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.3

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hobin * 39 6-13 4-10 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 20 10 -0.7
E. Greenberg * 38 4-8 3-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 13 6 +1.6
K. Sanders * 33 2-9 1-5 2-4 4 6 1 0 1 7 8 -0.0
E. Robinson * 24 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 5 5 +6.9
W. Celichowski * 9 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -0.8
C. Walker 32 6-6 0-0 5-10 12 1 1 3 2 17 26 +3.8
K. Gilles 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -1 +1.2
A.J. Patterson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 +2.3
J. Hinds 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -0.8

* = starter