Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +13 (98-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. D'Augustino * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | -9.3 |
| M. Mitchell * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -21.6 |
| F. Woodward * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -12.6 |
| M. Compas * | 23 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -1.9 |
| R. Hagy * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| K. Tinsley | 25 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -11.4 |
| A. Miller | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -7.0 |
| J. Dragas | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -16.6 |
| M. Davis | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +10.9 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Greenberg * | 38 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +10.3 |
| L. Hobin * | 36 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | +11.0 |
| E. Robinson * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | -1.8 |
| K. Sanders * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | +5.2 |
| W. Celichowski * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.7 |
| C. Walker | 29 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | +15.6 |
| A.J. Patterson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +7.6 |
| K. Gilles | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +14.9 |
| J. Hinds | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
* = starter