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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% -
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% -
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 3.6% 96.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 8.5% 91.5% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +35 (80-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Sanders 34 4-14 1-5 3-3 4 1 2 0 5 12 0 -
L. Hobin 30 1-11 0-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -7 -
E. Robinson 27 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 1 4 7 5 -
E. Greenberg 25 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
C. Walker 19 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Gilles 18 2-4 0-1 6-6 4 0 3 0 4 10 9 -
W. Celichowski 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A.J. Patterson 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 2 -
R. Dering 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Hinds 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Gatete 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Martin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Catchings 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
E. Taite 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Camper Jr. 23 3-7 0-3 5-5 5 2 2 1 1 11 13 -
K. Lowery 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 5 7 -
E. Price 19 1-3 0-1 6-7 4 2 3 2 1 8 15 -
T. Comer 19 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 9 5 -
V. Weems 18 3-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
P. White 16 0-4 0-3 6-6 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
A. Robinson 16 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 1 1 4 7 -
C. Bailey III 15 4-5 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
J. Armotrading 14 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 1 1 8 8 -
T. Rolison 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
M. Walker 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Coleman 7 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
E. Croley 5 1-1 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
C. Baudreau 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter