Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickett * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -9.2 |
| M. Thompson * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -12.9 |
| R. Malith * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | -10.7 |
| J. Campion * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -13.1 |
| A. Sakenis * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Jo Valrie | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -12.0 |
| D. Baker | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10.6 |
| K. Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| D. Robinson Jr. | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5.6 |
| C. Hall | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.0 |
| C. Efono | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| T. King | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hobin * | 38 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 6-10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +11.1 |
| E. Greenberg * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +14.4 |
| E. Robinson * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +7.0 |
| K. Sanders * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +0.8 |
| W. Celichowski * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +7.5 |
| C. Walker | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 | +8.4 |
| A.J. Patterson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +19.4 |
| K. Gilles | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +9.1 |
* = starter